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#Economic publications
The military escalation between the United States, Israel and Iran is putting extreme pressure on energy markets. Although no major supply disruptions have been reported yet, the risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz pose a threat to the global economy if the conflict continues.
#Economic publications
Geopolitical tensions are intensifying: what are the consequences for globalisation and economic stability? At the Coface Country Risk Conference on February 17, four experts share their analyses of these geostrategic rivalries that are impacting global trade.
#Economic publications
Momentum for the global economy has been varied moving into 2026. We expect growth of +2.6% this year – a very minor downtick on +2.8% in 2025 – despite an international environment marked by persistent geopolitical, financial and social risks.
#Economic publications
After nearly twenty years of stop-start negotiations, the EU and India have finalized one of the most ambitious free trade agreements (FTAs) of the last decade, opening up their markets while protecting sensitive sectors. The benefits are expected to be gradual, but already offer tangible prospects for goods, services, and investments on both sides.
#Economic publications
A key metal in the electronics industry — solder alone accounts for 50% of global demand — tin is benefiting greatly from energy and digital transitions. However, supply growth remains limited, particularly in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Myanmar, which is expected to lead to a supply deficit as early as 2026, the first since 2021.
Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors.
#Economic publications
#Economic publications
In 2026, business insolvencies are expected to rise slightly again, against a backdrop of gradually easing financing costs. Behind this apparent stabilisation lies a still high level of fragility, particularly in the construction, chemical and textile industries. A rise of just 25 basis points in interest rates on business loans would be enough to upset an easing trend.
#Economic publications
As the NextGenerationEU program draws to a close, only 58% of the funds from the Recovery and Resilience Facility have been disbursed, leaving nearly €270 billion to be disbursed by the end of 2026. This under-absorption weakens the growth momentum and structural objectives set by the plan.
#Economic publications
The year 2025 marked a turning point for the global economy. Between the Trump shock, Chinese overcapacity and geopolitical tensions, companies must redefine their strategies. Growth, insolvencies, changing margins: our experts analyse the challenges of 2026 and share their advice on how to strengthen your company's resilience in the face of the turbulence ahead.
Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors.
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