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#Economic publications
The Gulf states are stepping up their efforts in AI and data centres to prepare for the post-oil era. However, this new frontier in economic diversification exposes the region to unprecedented vulnerabilities: critical infrastructure, technological dependence, a shortage of talent and pressure on resources.
#Economic publications
The United States has replaced its temporary tariffs with new tariffs of between 10% and 12.5% targeting 60 countries, which account for 99% of its imports of goods. This development illustrates Washington’s determination to maintain its tariff strategy whilst preparing for possible new measures.
#Economic publications
With the United States, Canada and Mexico having begun the formal review of the USMCA , the negotiations are set to be particularly tense. However, despite the growing differences between the three partners, a lasting reversal of North American economic integration remains unlikely, given how deeply entrenched industrial interdependencies have become.
#Economic publications
As the Middle East moves towards a fragile lull in hostilities, the economic shock caused by the conflict – supply chains perturbation, inflation… - is already spreading to the global economy. Against this backdrop, Coface has carried out 8 country downgrades and 45 sector rating changes (41 downgrades, compared with just 4 upgrades).
#Economic publications
In an uncertain economic climate, companies in Latin America are tightening their credit terms to protect themselves, but without managing to stem the rise in payments delays. Nearly 8 in 10 companies are now facing payments delay, a rising figure, despite shorter payment terms. This dual trend illustrates the mounting cash flow pressures in the region, against a backdrop of high financing costs and fierce competition.
Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors.
#Economic publications
The global business climate is deteriorating at an accelerating pace: business insolvencies surged by 12% in early 2026, driven by North America (+22%). Against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and mounting cost pressures, Coface now forecasts a 6% rise in insolvencies worldwide for 2026.
#Economic publications
The compromise reached on 20 May between the Council of the European Union and the European Parliament on the texts ratifying the Turnberry Agreement marks a new stage in trade relations between Brussels and Washington. But behind the appearance of a transatlantic thaw, the agreement primarily reflects a risk management approach: the aim is to avoid a new surge in US protectionism whilst retaining the means to retaliate should the United States renege on its commitments.
#Economic publications
Better equipped than its competitors to deal with energy shocks, China is currently limiting supply disruptions linked to tensions in the Middle East. However, rising input costs, combined with a slowdown in global demand, are weighing on already stretched corporate margins.
#Economic publications
The trade war dominated economic news in 2025, and all the signs suggest it is far from over. Firstly, this article reviews the evidence pointing to the cost of tariffs being absorbed primarily by US companies. It then assesses the resilience of global trade.
Navigate uncertainty with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors.
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